Friday, September 25, 2009

Cost of Regulation in California $493B a Year

A study purportedly done at the behest of California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger shows that the Golden State inflicts a burden of $492,994 billion a year in regulatory mandates on business. This is nearly five times the state's general fund budget and almost a third of the state's GDP.

The "Cost of State Regulations on California Small Business Study," conducted by Sanjay B. Varshney, Ph.D and dean of the College of Business Administration at California State University, Sacramento, "uses original analyses and a general equilibrium framework to identify and measure the cost of regulation as measured by the loss of economic output to the State’s gross product," according to the author.

Varshney says the cost to each small business amounts to nearly $135,000 annually, on average, while small businesses account for 99.2 percent of all statewide enterprises. He writes:
The total cost of regulation was $134,122.48 per small business in California in 2007, labor income not created or lost was $4,359.55 per small business, indirect business taxes not generated or lost were $57,260.15 per small business, and finally roughly one job lost per small business.
The result, he says, is the loss of 3.8 million jobs statewide, roughly one-tenth of California's population.

Now, you know why economic recovery in California will not only be slow but probably non-existent.

Thursday, September 24, 2009

What the Public Option Will Mean to Your Wallet

If the Democrats succeed in creating their "robust public option" of health insurance for those who currently don't have any insurance, there will be blood. Well, maybe not actual blood, but the color of blood--red--all over the budgets of people and entities from coast to coast.

Consider this:
A study by the actuarial firm Milliman calculated that public programs, such as Medicare and Medicaid, currently shift $88.8 billion in costs onto private payers per year, increasing the typical American family's annual private health insurance premium by $1,512. Can you imagine the cost shift if 103.4 million more Americans were on a government plan?
Pretty frightening, huh? And since the "public option" will be just as underfunded as Medicare/Medicaid, you can chalk up another $37 trillion in unfunded liabilities over the next 50 years or so.

But the Democrats will forever be able to charge at election time that "the Republicans will take away your health care" and thus presumably win votes.

However, since they'll also have to ration and deny health care just to be able to pay 80 percent of what private insurers do (in order to make the public option "affordable"), taking away one's health care won't amount to a whole lot. You won't be able to get any medical services anyway, so what will there be to take away?